Barcelona vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VCF
1 - 0
FCB
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
FCB
1 - 1
SPO
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
MAL
3 - 2
FCB
24%
30%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ATH
1 - 0
FCB
35%
29%
36%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
HER
3 - 1
CCF
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
HER
0 - 0
ATH
42%
30%
28%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ZAR
2 - 2
HER
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
CCF
1 - 0
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
HER
1 - 1
RMA
24%
28%
49%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |