Barcelona vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
ESP
4 - 3
FCB
60%
18%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
VCF
4 - 0
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAS
5 - 2
HER
34%
23%
44%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
HER
0 - 5
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
6 - 0
HER
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
HER
3 - 2
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |