Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
Barcelona vs Györ ETO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
MLL
3 - 2
FCB
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
FCB
2 - 1
CEL
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
VCF
0 - 0
FCB
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
SEV
3 - 0
FCB
31%
30%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Györ ETO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1969 |
GYO
2 - 3
FCB
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
GYO
2 - 1
LAU
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1969 |
LAU
1 - 2
GYO
43%
22%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1967 |
ACM
1 - 1
GYO
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
GYO
2 - 2
ACM
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |