Barcelona vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
51%
22%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
FCB
6 - 0
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ATH
2 - 0
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
GRA
3 - 0
GIR
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
GIR
0 - 0
BAR
53%
21%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
CAS
3 - 1
GIR
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
GIR
4 - 2
MLL
55%
20%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
RCF
1 - 0
GIR
65%
18%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |