Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Barcelona vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
MAL
1 - 1
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
FCB
3 - 1
MAL
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
FCB
0 - 1
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
SPO
3 - 1
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
FCB
3 - 2
RMA
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1947 |
GIM
1 - 0
RAC
67%
16%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
GIM
5 - 1
RAC
64%
17%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
RAC
6 - 2
GIM
55%
20%
25%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SPO
1 - 1
GIM
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
GIM
4 - 2
SPO
51%
21%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |