Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 5-1
Barcelona vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
FCB
0 - 0
RBU
90%
8%
2%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
38%
27%
35%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1990 |
FRA
1 - 2
FCB
29%
29%
42%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
FCB
3 - 2
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
OSA
0 - 0
FCB
23%
28%
50%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1990 |
FRA
1 - 2
FCB
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
DJU
1 - 1
FRA
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
FRA
3 - 0
DJU
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
FRA
3 - 2
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1990 |
STJ
1 - 6
FRA
48%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |