Barcelona vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
FCB
3 - 0
BET
81%
13%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
LYO
2 - 3
FCB
42%
25%
33%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
MAL
1 - 1
FCB
28%
24%
48%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
FCB
2 - 1
LEV
65%
19%
16%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
FCB
2 - 2
VCF
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
MAL
1 - 3
FEN
6%
17%
78%
|
86 | 40 | 46 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
FEN
1 - 2
LEV
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FEN
3 - 2
ANT
84%
12%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
LYO
3 - 1
FEN
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
RIZ
1 - 2
FEN
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |