Barcelona vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCB
16%
21%
63%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 1
GET
86%
10%
4%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 1
FCB
16%
21%
64%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
17%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 0
ZAR
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
1 - 3
SHA
32%
24%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SHA
4 - 0
VOL
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
KPT
1 - 0
SHA
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SHA
3 - 0
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
PSE
0 - 1
SHA
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |