Barcelona vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FCB
4 - 0
VCF
67%
19%
14%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SEV
0 - 3
FCB
41%
24%
35%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 5
FCB
27%
25%
48%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 1
GET
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
REC
0 - 2
FCB
17%
22%
61%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SHA
1 - 0
KPT
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
SHA
5 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
SHA
2 - 0
LVI
83%
13%
5%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SHA
1 - 0
DYN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
PFC
1 - 2
SHA
17%
24%
59%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |