Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Barcelona vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
VCF
2 - 1
FCB
46%
27%
28%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
RAC
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RAY
2 - 1
FCB
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FCB
5 - 1
ELC
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
SHA
1 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
JUV
3 - 0
SHA
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
BUD
2 - 3
SHA
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
SHA
3 - 0
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BFC
1 - 1
SHA
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |