Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
3º
2º
23
10º
19º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 88 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 83 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 82 |
3º
|
53.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 69 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 68 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 51 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 49 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 49 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 46 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 43 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 39 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 36 |
18º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 36 |
19º
|
21% | |
|
20º
|
15 | 28 |
20º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
75.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 4
FCB
57%
22%
22%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 1
BYM
26%
20%
54%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
5 - 1
SEV
77%
15%
8%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 3
FCB
7%
15%
78%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
5 - 0
YOB
84%
11%
5%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 4
ESP
6%
16%
79%
|
85 | 22 | 63 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 2
SEV
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 1
ESP
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
MLL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BET
1 - 0
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |