Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2002 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
62%
20%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
4 - 1
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
50%
23%
27%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 1
FCB
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 2
ALA
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
DEP
3 - 1
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ESP
2 - 0
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MLL
2 - 1
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |