Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CEL
6 - 4
FCB
51%
21%
28%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
FCB
4 - 0
MAL
82%
11%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ATM
4 - 1
FCB
55%
20%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 0
VCF
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
OVI
0 - 2
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ESP
3 - 2
DEP
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 1
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
GIM
3 - 1
ESP
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ESP
4 - 1
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |