Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1949 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
VCF
3 - 1
FCB
67%
17%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
FCB
5 - 0
GRA
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
FCB
9 - 0
GIR
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1949 |
ATH
6 - 2
ESP
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATH
55%
20%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
ATM
5 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 1
ATM
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |