Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.8%
10.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 0
FCB
37%
22%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
FCB
4 - 5
ATM
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
GRA
2 - 0
FCB
35%
22%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 1
SEV
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
DEP
1 - 4
FCB
30%
22%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 3
VCF
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SAB
0 - 0
ESP
37%
22%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 0
OVI
50%
22%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |