Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ATM
4 - 0
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
FCB
8 - 0
CEL
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
CAS
0 - 2
FCB
22%
20%
58%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
FCB
4 - 1
BET
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
31%
22%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ESP
4 - 2
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
GRA
2 - 2
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
ESP
1 - 2
SEV
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 1
ESP
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ESP
5 - 0
OVI
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |