Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
HER
3 - 1
FCB
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 1
FCB
18%
17%
66%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
FCB
6 - 3
OVI
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
FCB
2 - 1
DEP
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATH
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
ESP
1 - 1
GRA
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
RSO
1 - 2
ESP
33%
21%
46%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ESP
0 - 1
VCF
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
RMA
1 - 1
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |