Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-6
Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
VCF
4 - 0
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
60%
19%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
6 - 0
FCB
63%
18%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
ESP
6 - 2
GIR
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1941 |
GIR
1 - 1
ESP
21%
20%
59%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
63%
17%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
HER
3 - 2
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |