Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
ATH
1 - 3
FCB
72%
15%
13%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
BET
2 - 1
FCB
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
FCB
5 - 2
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
40%
23%
36%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 1
ALA
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
VCF
1 - 1
ESP
37%
22%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
ESP
3 - 0
RSO
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
ATH
0 - 2
ESP
78%
12%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ESP
2 - 1
RAC
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |