Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
15.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
ARE
5 - 0
FCB
37%
23%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
RSO
4 - 1
FCB
39%
23%
39%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
EUR
2 - 2
FCB
26%
23%
52%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
FCB
6 - 3
ATH
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
RUN
6 - 1
ESP
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
ESP
5 - 0
ARE
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
ALA
4 - 1
ESP
33%
23%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
ESP
4 - 1
RAC
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |