Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
ATH
4 - 3
FCB
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 2
RUN
79%
13%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 1
FCB
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
EUR
0 - 3
FCB
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARE
69%
17%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
EUR
1 - 2
ESP
12%
15%
73%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1930 |
ESP
8 - 1
RMA
51%
21%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
ATH
6 - 0
ESP
63%
18%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
ESP
3 - 1
RUN
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |