Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
ATH
5 - 1
FCB
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 2
EUR
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
ATM
4 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 2
ARE
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
RSO
3 - 0
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
1 - 2
ARE
75%
14%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 0
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
RSO
1 - 1
ESP
49%
22%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
3 - 0
RAC
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
ESP
3 - 1
EUR
92%
6%
2%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | +1 |