Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 0
SEV
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
SEV
0 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
RSO
0 - 0
FCB
38%
23%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
FCB
6 - 0
RSO
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 4
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
5 - 1
ATM
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
ESP
3 - 1
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
ARE
4 - 6
ESP
44%
23%
34%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |