Barcelona vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
UDL
1 - 0
FCB
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
FCB
2 - 0
GYO
78%
14%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
MLL
3 - 2
FCB
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
ELC
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
ELC
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ELC
1 - 1
MLL
67%
20%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
CEL
4 - 0
ELC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1969 |
ELC
0 - 0
VCF
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |