Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Barcelona vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
FCB
2 - 0
BET
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
ZAR
2 - 0
FCB
34%
29%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
DUN
1 - 0
FCB
37%
29%
34%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
FCB
0 - 4
SPO
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
UDL
0 - 0
FCB
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1987 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLY
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
DUN
1 - 0
FCB
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
ABE
0 - 1
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
DUN
2 - 0
MHE
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |