Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Barcelona vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCB
33%
28%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FCB
0 - 1
PON
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ELC
4 - 3
FCB
39%
27%
34%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
FCB
2 - 0
SAB
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 4
FCB
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUN
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
DUN
4 - 3
CLY
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
STI
1 - 4
DUN
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1966 |
DUN
2 - 3
GLA
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
AYR
0 - 7
DUN
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |