Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-1
Barcelona vs FK Dukla Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATM
70%
18%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
RSO
1 - 1
FCB
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
DUK
1 - 0
FCB
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
FCB
5 - 1
RAC
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
VAD
2 - 3
FCB
24%
26%
50%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
DUK
1 - 0
FCB
34%
25%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
GLA
2 - 1
DUK
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
DUK
3 - 0
GLA
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
STR
2 - 0
DUK
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
DUK
1 - 0
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |