Qualif. Champions Final
Global 3-4
Barcelona vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.6%
2.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
LOG
1 - 2
FCB
13%
24%
63%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
FCB
3 - 1
ATM
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
FCB
3 - 0
VCF
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1992 |
CSK
1 - 1
FCB
34%
25%
42%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1992 |
DEP
1 - 0
FCB
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
CSK
0 - 2
LNN
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1992 |
CSK
1 - 1
FCB
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1992 |
AMO
2 - 5
CSK
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
SAT
1 - 2
CSK
7%
17%
75%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
CSK
1 - 2
SPA
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |