Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 6-3
Barcelona vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
RAC
0 - 4
FCB
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
FCB
1 - 1
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
CRV
2 - 4
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 4
FCB
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
CRV
2 - 4
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
CRV
3 - 0
LSK
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
LSK
0 - 4
CRV
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
CRV
1 - 2
AND
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
AND
2 - 1
CRV
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |