Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 6-1
Barcelona vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMA
63%
18%
20%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
CRV
0 - 2
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
RMA
0 - 1
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
FCB
10 - 1
BAS
96%
3%
1%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
BAS
0 - 2
FCB
12%
19%
69%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
CRV
0 - 2
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1962 |
CRV
5 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1962 |
ESP
2 - 1
CRV
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1961 |
HIB
0 - 1
CRV
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
CRV
4 - 0
HIB
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |