Champions League Fase Final Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Barcelona vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
30%
24%
46%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
4 - 0
SEV
69%
18%
13%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GET
0 - 1
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
BYM
1 - 1
FCB
34%
25%
42%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 0
REC
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WHU
0 - 1
CHL
19%
25%
56%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
CHL
0 - 0
EVE
69%
20%
11%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
CHL
4 - 4
LIV
51%
26%
23%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CHL
4 - 3
BOL
72%
19%
9%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |