Champions League Last 16
Global 3-2
Barcelona vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
FCB
3 - 2
DEP
73%
17%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ZAR
0 - 2
FCB
26%
25%
49%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
CHL
1 - 2
FCB
52%
25%
24%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
FCB
5 - 1
BET
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VCF
1 - 0
FCB
31%
26%
43%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
WBA
1 - 2
CHL
11%
23%
66%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 0
OPA
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
CHL
1 - 2
FCB
52%
25%
24%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CHL
3 - 1
COL
82%
14%
4%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
MID
3 - 0
CHL
18%
25%
58%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | -1 |