Champions League Last 16
Global 4-5
Barcelona vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
FCB
2 - 0
MLL
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
ZAR
1 - 4
FCB
26%
26%
47%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
FCB
0 - 2
ATM
73%
17%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
SEV
0 - 4
FCB
33%
27%
40%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
FCB
3 - 0
RAC
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
32%
27%
40%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 1
CHL
18%
26%
57%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CHL
0 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
10%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
BBU
0 - 1
CHL
18%
25%
57%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIR
73%
18%
9%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |