Champions League Last 16
Global 4-2
Barcelona vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ATM
4 - 2
FCB
25%
26%
49%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
74%
17%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
FCB
5 - 1
LEV
83%
13%
5%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 3
FCB
17%
24%
59%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 2
FCB
27%
25%
48%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
HIB
0 - 2
CEL
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 1
ICT
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
STM
0 - 1
CEL
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 3
FCB
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CEL
3 - 0
HOM
51%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |