Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Barcelona vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
RMA
4 - 1
FCB
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
SEV
2 - 1
FCB
28%
24%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATH
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
LEV
5 - 1
FCB
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
CEL
0 - 2
DUN
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
STJ
3 - 0
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
CEL
2 - 1
AIR
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
KIL
5 - 2
CEL
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
GLA
2 - 1
CEL
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |