Barcelona vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
CAS
0 - 2
FCB
22%
20%
58%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
FCB
4 - 1
BET
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
31%
22%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 1
DEP
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 2
VCF
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
CEL
2 - 1
RMA
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
GRA
3 - 1
CEL
50%
20%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 0
SEV
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ATH
4 - 0
CEL
78%
12%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
CEL
2 - 0
OVI
58%
19%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |