Barcelona vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
13.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
52%
21%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 3
FCB
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
SEV
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCB
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
69%
17%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
5 - 1
ZAR
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
4 - 2
BET
52%
20%
28%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
4 - 1
CEL
63%
17%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
CEL
3 - 2
VCF
53%
19%
28%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 4
ATH
37%
22%
42%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |