Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Barcelona vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.9%
6.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
RSO
1 - 1
FCB
46%
21%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
FCB
1 - 0
RSO
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
VCF
2 - 3
FCB
35%
22%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
FCB
2 - 0
VCF
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
CEL
3 - 0
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
SPO
0 - 0
CEL
70%
15%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
CEL
2 - 0
NAM
79%
12%
9%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
NAM
2 - 1
CEL
32%
21%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
DBN
0 - 13
CEL
19%
19%
62%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |