Barcelona vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
DEP
2 - 0
FCB
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
ALC
0 - 1
FCB
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
FCB
2 - 1
RAC
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
LLE
0 - 3
FCB
21%
22%
57%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
MAL
1 - 2
CEL
50%
22%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
RAC
0 - 0
MAL
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
MAL
0 - 0
VAD
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
MAL
2 - 1
ATM
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |