Barcelona vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ATM
4 - 1
FCB
55%
20%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 0
VCF
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
OVI
0 - 2
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1949 |
VCF
7 - 4
FCB
64%
17%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
MAL
2 - 1
DEP
52%
21%
28%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SEV
3 - 1
MAL
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 3
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
GIM
5 - 1
MAL
65%
17%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
MAL
2 - 3
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |