Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-2
Barcelona vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
FCB
0 - 1
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
SPO
3 - 1
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
FCB
3 - 2
RMA
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
CAS
4 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
FCB
5 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
GRA
4 - 2
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
MAL
5 - 3
GIM
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BAR
4 - 2
MAL
73%
16%
12%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
MAL
5 - 0
RCF
53%
22%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1947 |
RCD
1 - 1
MAL
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |