Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 12-1
Barcelona vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.4%
3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 1
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
FCB
5 - 3
RUN
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1931 |
ESP
4 - 4
FCB
46%
22%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
FCB
2 - 0
ARE
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
DBN
0 - 5
MUR
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
MUR
10 - 0
DBN
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | -1 |