Barcelona vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
FCB
7 - 2
GRA
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
SEV
2 - 2
FCB
55%
20%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
FCB
3 - 3
DEP
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
RSO
1 - 1
FCB
34%
21%
45%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
CAS
1 - 1
VCF
40%
23%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ATH
2 - 3
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
CAS
2 - 1
RMA
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
SAB
1 - 0
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1943 |
CAS
2 - 0
OVI
50%
21%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |