Barcelona vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
12.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BET
0 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
52%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
FCB
4 - 1
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
DEP
2 - 2
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
VCF
2 - 4
FCB
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
FCB
5 - 5
RMA
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
CAS
3 - 0
RMA
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAS
53%
20%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
CAS
2 - 0
SEV
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ATH
4 - 0
CAS
81%
11%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
CAS
3 - 0
OVI
40%
21%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |