Barcelona vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.8%
10.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
OVI
1 - 1
FCB
59%
18%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
FCB
6 - 2
SEV
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
DEP
1 - 0
FCB
33%
20%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
FCB
5 - 1
ATM
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
CAS
4 - 0
ATH
25%
22%
53%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
GRA
7 - 3
CAS
55%
20%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1942 |
CAS
5 - 0
RSO
61%
18%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
VCF
6 - 2
CAS
88%
8%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1942 |
CAS
0 - 3
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |