Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Barcelona vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
55%
23%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAY
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
RAY
0 - 3
FCB
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHB
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
BOT
4 - 1
LSO
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
CVA
2 - 1
BOT
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
BOT
4 - 3
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |