Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Final
Global 4-1
Barcelona vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.5%
Win probability
4.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.9%
7-0
4%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.6%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.5%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.9%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.3%
1.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1960 |
RCF
1 - 3
FCB
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 53 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMA
74%
14%
12%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
7 - 1
RCF
97%
2%
1%
|
93 | 53 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1960 |
RMA
3 - 1
FCB
61%
18%
20%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
5 - 0
ZAR
94%
4%
2%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
BIR
1 - 0
BBU
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1960 |
BIR
0 - 1
BUR
53%
21%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 4
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1960 |
WBA
1 - 1
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
BIR
1 - 7
WBA
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |