Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
Barcelona vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
RAC
4 - 4
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ESP
2 - 1
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
FCB
2 - 3
ATH
53%
21%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCB
54%
22%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
FCB
4 - 1
BET
77%
14%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1933 |
ESP
1 - 2
BET
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
BET
3 - 1
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
ARE
3 - 3
BET
66%
17%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
BET
3 - 2
RAC
36%
21%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
FCB
4 - 1
BET
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |