Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Barcelona vs Berlin XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
4.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.5%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.2%
7-0
4.3%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
6%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.9%
5-0
9%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
4%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4%
1.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1961 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
81%
11%
8%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATH
83%
10%
7%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
BER
1 - 0
FCB
20%
22%
59%
|
90 | 11 | 79 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 3
FCB
16%
21%
63%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
RSO
2 - 1
FCB
22%
23%
56%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Berlin XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
BER
1 - 0
FCB
20%
22%
59%
|
11 | 90 | 79 | 0 |