Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Barcelona vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
FCB
2 - 1
LOG
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1988 |
MLL
1 - 0
FCB
27%
29%
43%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
FCB
0 - 0
SAB
81%
13%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1988 |
LEV
0 - 0
FCB
41%
29%
30%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
ATM
0 - 2
FCB
52%
26%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1988 |
LEV
1 - 1
KOL
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1988 |
LEV
2 - 1
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
EIN
3 - 2
LEV
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1988 |
LEV
0 - 0
FCB
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
FCN
2 - 1
LEV
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |